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Mercedes v Lugano: predictions · Evident

Mercedes v Lugano

Mon 18:00 UTC · Argentina

Full time1–0

Main tip · Double chanceWon

Mercedes or draw · 1X73.9%

Fair odds: 1.35
Price: 1.36William Hill
Confidence: Medium

Version 2 · published Mon 16:32 UTCHistory (2)

The main tip’s record

Version 1Sat 18:01 UTCMercedes or Lugano · 12 · 72.9%
Version 2Mon 16:32 UTCMercedes or draw · 1X · 73.9%
Kick-offMon 18:00 UTC
SettlementWon

Result Goals Team goals Combinations Handicaps Exact Half-time

SelectionChanceOdds

Result3 markets

Mercedes win
Match result · Model only
42.2%
Won

fair 2.37price 2.63

Mercedes or draw · 1XMain tip

Double chance · Market-backed

73.9%

Won

fair 1.35price 1.36

Mercedes DNB

Draw no bet · Model only

58.3%

Won

fair 1.71price 1.83

Goals6 markets

Over 0.5
Over/under 0.5 · Market-backed
87.0%
Won
fair 1.15price 1.09
Over 1.5
Over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
63.2%
Lost
fair 1.58price 1.57
Under 2.5
Over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
62.0%
Won
fair 1.61price 1.36
Under 3.5
Over/under 3.5 · Market-backed
78.1%
Won
fair 1.28price 1.08
Under 4.5
Over/under 4.5 · Model only
92.3%
Won
fair 1.08price 1.03
BTTS no
Both teams to score · Market-backed
62.3%
Won
fair 1.61price 1.62

Team goals10 markets

Over 0.5
Mercedes over/under 0.5 · Market-backed
64.5%
Won
fair 1.55price 1.42
Under 1.5
Mercedes over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
74.8%
Won
fair 1.34price 1.34
Under 2.5
Mercedes over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
93.2%
Won
fair 1.07price 1.04
Over 0.5
Lugano over/under 0.5 · Market-backed
56.1%
Lost
fair 1.78price 1.57
Under 1.5
Lugano over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
75.5%
Won
fair 1.32price 1.23
Under 2.5
Lugano over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
95.6%
Won
fair 1.05price 1.01
No
Mercedes clean sheet · Market-backed
56.2%
Lost
fair 1.78price —
No
Lugano clean sheet · Market-backed
64.5%
Won
fair 1.55price —
No
Mercedes win to nil · Market-backed
72.8%
Lost
fair 1.37price —
No
Lugano win to nil · Market-backed
84.5%
Won
fair 1.18price —

Combinations8 markets

Mercedes win and BTTS no
Result and BTTS · Market-backed
28.8%
Won
fair 3.48price —
Mercedes win and over 1.5
Result and over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
20.9%
Lost
fair 4.79price —
Draw and under 2.5
Result and over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
27.4%
Lost
fair 3.65price —
Mercedes win and under 3.5
Result and over/under 3.5 · Market-backed
40.3%
Won
fair 2.48price —
BTTS no and under 2.5
BTTS and over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
45.9%
Won
fair 2.18price —
Mercedes or Lugano and over 1.5
Double chance and over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
46.8%
Lost
fair 2.14price —
Draw or Lugano and under 2.5
Double chance and over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
51.4%
Lost
fair 1.95price —
Mercedes or draw and under 3.5
Double chance and over/under 3.5 · Market-backed
60.2%
Won
fair 1.66price —

Handicaps15 markets

Lugano +2.5
Asian handicap −2.5 · Market-backed
95.4%
Won
fair 1.05price —
Lugano +2
Asian handicap −2 · Market-backed
94.8%
Won
fair 1.05price —
Lugano +1.5
Asian handicap −1.5 · Market-backed
85.2%
Won
fair 1.17price 1.08
Lugano +1
Asian handicap −1 · Market-backed
79.2%
Void
fair 1.26price 1.14
Lugano +0.5
Asian handicap −0.5 · Market-backed
58.2%
Lost
fair 1.72price 1.48
Mercedes 0
Asian handicap 0 · Model only
58.3%
Won
fair 1.71price 1.83
Mercedes +0.5
Asian handicap +0.5 · Market-backed
76.2%
Won
fair 1.31price 1.45
Mercedes +1
Asian handicap +1 · Market-backed
90.2%
Won
fair 1.11price 1.06
Mercedes +1.5
Asian handicap +1.5 · Market-backed
92.1%
Won
fair 1.09price 1.03
Mercedes +2
Asian handicap +2 · Market-backed
98.0%
Won
fair 1.02price —
Mercedes +2.5
Asian handicap +2.5 · Market-backed
98.5%
Won
fair 1.01price —
Lugano +2
European handicap −2 · Market-backed
86.7%
Won
fair 1.15price 1.11
Lugano +1
European handicap −1 · Market-backed
59.5%
Lost
fair 1.68price 1.44
Mercedes +1
European handicap +1 · Model only
66.4%
Won
fair 1.51price 1.44
Mercedes +2
European handicap +2 · Market-backed
93.3%
Won
fair 1.07price 1.11

Exact6 markets

1–0
Correct score · Market-backed
17.7%
Won
fair 5.66price 6.50
1 goal
Exact total goals · Market-backed
27.8%
Won
fair 3.60price —
Yes
Multi-goals 1–2 · Market-backed
53.5%
Won
fair 1.87price —
Yes
Multi-goals 1–3 · Model only
66.8%
Won
fair 1.50price —
No
Multi-goals 2–3 · Model only
54.1%
Won
fair 1.85price —
Yes
Multi-goals 2–4 · Model only
56.2%
Lost
fair 1.78price —

Half-time5 markets

Draw
Half-time result · Market-backed
46.7%
Won
fair 2.14price 1.85
Over 0.5
Half-time over/under 0.5 · Market-backed
66.1%
Lost
fair 1.51price 1.57
Under 1.5
Half-time over/under 1.5 · Model only
71.2%
Won
fair 1.40price 1.17
Mercedes / Mercedes
Half-time / full-time · Model only
23.9%
Lost
fair 4.18price 4.60
Second half
Highest-scoring half · Market-backed
42.0%
Won
fair 2.38price —

The main tip’s record

Version 1Sat 18:01 UTCMercedes or Lugano · 12 · 72.9%
Version 2Mon 16:32 UTCMercedes or draw · 1X · 73.9%
Kick-offMon 18:00 UTC
SettlementWon

Members’ discussion

Members’ own views, not Evident’s predictions.