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Derby v Stoke: predictions · Evident

Derby v Stoke

Sat 14:00 UTC · England

Full time0–1

Main tip · Double chanceWon

Derby or Stoke · 1272.6%

Fair odds: 1.38
Price: 1.30William Hill
Confidence: Medium

Version 2 · published Fri 14:00 UTCHistory (2)

The main tip’s record

Version 1Thu 14:01 UTCDerby or draw · 1X · 71.0%
Version 2Fri 14:00 UTCDerby or Stoke · 12 · 72.6%
Kick-offSat 14:00 UTC
SettlementWon

Result Goals Team goals Combinations Handicaps Exact Half-time

SelectionChanceOdds

Result3 markets

Stoke win
Match result · Market-backed
38.9%
Won

fair 2.57price 2.40

Derby or Stoke · 12Main tip

Double chance · Market-backed

72.6%

Won

fair 1.38price 1.30

Stoke DNB

Draw no bet · Market-backed

57.7%

Won

fair 1.74price 1.70

Goals5 markets

Over 0.5
Over/under 0.5 · Model only
91.5%
Won
fair 1.09price 1.01
Over 1.5
Over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
74.3%
Lost
fair 1.35price 1.25
Under 2.5
Over/under 2.5 · Model only
53.1%
Won
fair 1.89price 1.81
Under 3.5
Over/under 3.5 · Market-backed
75.5%
Won
fair 1.32price 1.25
BTTS yes
Both teams to score · Market-backed
55.2%
Lost
fair 1.81price 1.75

Team goals10 markets

Over 0.5
Derby over/under 0.5 · Model only
73.0%
Lost
fair 1.37price 1.24
Under 1.5
Derby over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
64.1%
Won
fair 1.56price 1.48
Under 2.5
Derby over/under 2.5 · Model only
82.7%
Won
fair 1.21price 1.11
Over 0.5
Stoke over/under 0.5 · Market-backed
79.7%
Won
fair 1.25price 1.22
Under 1.5
Stoke over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
63.5%
Won
fair 1.57price 1.59
Under 2.5
Stoke over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
83.2%
Won
fair 1.20price 1.12
No
Derby clean sheet · Market-backed
79.7%
Won
fair 1.25price —
No
Stoke clean sheet · Model only
73.0%
Lost
fair 1.37price —
No
Derby win to nil · Market-backed
85.0%
Won
fair 1.18price —
No
Stoke win to nil · Market-backed
81.3%
Lost
fair 1.23price —

Combinations8 markets

Stoke win and BTTS no
Result and BTTS · Market-backed
19.0%
Won
fair 5.26price —
Stoke win and over 1.5
Result and over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
30.9%
Lost
fair 3.24price —
Stoke win and over 2.5
Result and over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
22.9%
Lost
fair 4.37price —
Stoke win and under 3.5
Result and over/under 3.5 · Market-backed
27.1%
Won
fair 3.69price —
BTTS yes and over 2.5
BTTS and over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
40.1%
Lost
fair 2.50price —
Derby or Stoke and over 1.5
Double chance and over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
53.0%
Lost
fair 1.89price —
Derby or Stoke and over 2.5
Double chance and over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
43.4%
Lost
fair 2.31price —
Derby or Stoke and under 3.5
Double chance and over/under 3.5 · Market-backed
50.7%
Won
fair 1.97price —

Handicaps15 markets

Stoke +2.5
Asian handicap −2.5 · Market-backed
95.5%
Won
fair 1.05price —
Stoke +2
Asian handicap −2 · Market-backed
94.9%
Won
fair 1.05price 1.01
Stoke +1.5
Asian handicap −1.5 · Market-backed
85.0%
Won
fair 1.18price 1.06
Stoke +1
Asian handicap −1 · Market-backed
86.2%
Won
fair 1.16price 1.11
Stoke +0.5
Asian handicap −0.5 · Market-backed
67.7%
Won
fair 1.48price 1.40
Stoke 0
Asian handicap 0 · Market-backed
57.7%
Won
fair 1.74price 1.72
Derby +0.5
Asian handicap +0.5 · Market-backed
59.6%
Lost
fair 1.68price 1.60
Derby +1
Asian handicap +1 · Market-backed
74.7%
Void
fair 1.34price 1.18
Derby +1.5
Asian handicap +1.5 · Market-backed
80.3%
Won
fair 1.25price 1.12
Derby +2
Asian handicap +2 · Market-backed
91.8%
Won
fair 1.09price 1.02
Derby +2.5
Asian handicap +2.5 · Market-backed
93.6%
Won
fair 1.07price 1.01
Stoke +2
European handicap −2 · Market-backed
84.9%
Won
fair 1.18price 1.12
Stoke +1
European handicap −1 · Market-backed
67.7%
Won
fair 1.48price 1.40
Derby +1
European handicap +1 · Market-backed
59.4%
Lost
fair 1.68price 1.57
Derby +2
European handicap +2 · Market-backed
82.3%
Won
fair 1.22price 1.18

Exact5 markets

1–1
Correct score · Model only
12.6%
Lost
fair 7.92price 5.80
2 goals
Exact total goals · Model only
24.3%
Lost
fair 4.12price —
No
Multi-goals 1–2 · Model only
55.3%
Lost
fair 1.81price —
No
Multi-goals 2–3 · Model only
50.8%
Won
fair 1.97price —
Yes
Multi-goals 2–4 · Model only
62.0%
Lost
fair 1.61price —

Half-time7 markets

Draw
Half-time result · Model only
43.2%
Won
fair 2.31price 2.10
Draw or Stoke · X2
Half-time double chance · Market-backed
74.4%
Won
fair 1.34price 1.30
Over 0.5
Half-time over/under 0.5 · Market-backed
70.9%
Lost
fair 1.41price 1.36
Under 1.5
Half-time over/under 1.5 · Market-backed
67.0%
Won
fair 1.49price 1.40
Under 2.5
Half-time over/under 2.5 · Market-backed
90.9%
Won
fair 1.10price 1.08
Stoke / Stoke
Half-time / full-time · Market-backed
22.2%
Lost
fair 4.51price 3.72
Second half
Highest-scoring half · Market-backed
43.7%
Won
fair 2.29price —

The main tip’s record

Version 1Thu 14:01 UTCDerby or draw · 1X · 71.0%
Version 2Fri 14:00 UTCDerby or Stoke · 12 · 72.6%
Kick-offSat 14:00 UTC
SettlementWon

Members’ discussion

Members’ own views, not Evident’s predictions.